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Cliched and Trite
Have to admit I approached it skeptically. After
all, how many `the sky is falling' books was I
bombarded with in high school and college....95% of
which were total bulls__t. By 2005 we were
suppose to be broke, starving, gasping for fresh
air and either freezing in nuclear winter or
broiling under greenhouse gases.
Anyway, Diamond didn't disappoint. I try to
remember that publishing is a business, and one
needs to be a bit of an alarmist in order to sell
books.
My problem is that he lines up all the usual
suspects. Thus the List Of Bad: Cars, Mining,
Logging, Big Business, First Worlders then paints then with the exhausted rhetoric that frequently spills from the mouths of aging academics.
Cars are always a popular target for hysterics,
but he never bothered to point out that the air
in our cities is cleaner than it's been in 150
years. No longer is the air filled with
micro-particulates from horse manure, or the
belching smoke from early automobiles. Yes,
third world countries suffer bad air, but is
there any reason to think that rising living
standards in those places won't bring them the
same environmental benefits? Think Seoul. Think
Singapore. Think East Europe.
My biggest complaint is that he totally frames
the food dilemma in ways that appeal to old
cannards that died out with Erlich's 'The
Population Bomb' 30 years ago. The fact is that
in the past 50 years, the US has reduced land
under cultivation by 30% while quintupling food
production. Hell, the yield we can get from an
acre of corn has jumped 15% in the last decade.
The food problem has more to do with oppressive
political systems than anything else. He might
have done a better job pointing out that
protectionist agricultural policies in the US and
Europe keep the third world from developing their
land for agricultural export crops....a vastly more
beneficial use than subsistence farming. Thus
they would have a greater incentive to care for
the land.
His biggest failure though, is not appreciating
the enormous power of basic capitalism to address
the issues he raises. One thing vastly different
from most of the cases he describes is that today
we in the West have extensively distributed
economic and political power. We also have
strict private property traditions. All the
cases he describes in the third world are classic
`Tragedy Of The Commons' scenarios brought about
because of collectivist economics they have in
place (we have our own `Commons' problem with
Social Security) Private property rights would
solve 80% of the problems he describes.
A good counter to this book is `The Skeptical
Environmentalist' by Bjorn Lomborg. While
equally polemic in places, Lomborg's is a much
more thoughtful work than Diamond.
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